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3G Talking Points
The telecommunications world is changing as
the trends of media convergence, industry consolidation, Internet and IP
technologies and mobile communications collide into one. Significant change will
be bought about by this rapid evolution in technology, with Third Generation
mobile Internet technology a radical departure from that that came before in the
first and even the second generations of mobile technology.
Some of the changes
include:
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- People will look at their mobile phone as
much as they hold it to their ear. As such, 3G will be less safe than
previous generations- because television and other multimedia services 10d
to attract at10tion to themselves- instead of hands-free kits, we will need
eyes-free kits!
- Data (“non-voice”) uses of 3G will be
as important as and very different from the traditional voice business
- Mobile communications will be similar in
its capability to fixed communications, such that many people will only
have a mobile phone
- The mobile phone will be used as an
integral part of the majority of people’s lives- it will not be an added
accessory but a core part of how they conduct their daily lives. The mobile
phone will become akin to a remote control or magic wand that lets people do
what they want when they want
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As with all new
technology classicals, there is uncertainty and the fear of displacement. Third
Generation (3G) mobile is topical and con10tious for several reasons:
- Because the nature and form of mobile
communications is so radically changed, many people don’t understand how
to make money in the nonvoice world, and do not understand their role in it
- 3G licenses have started being awarded
around the world, necessitating that existing mobile communications
companies in the 2G world think about and justify their continued exis10ce
- 3G is based on a different technology
platform- Code Division Multiple Access (CDMA)- that is unlike the Time
Division Multiple Access (TDMA) technology that is widely used in the 2G
world. GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications) was based on TDMA
technology
- The US, Japanese and European mobile
players all have different technology compe10ces and are now unified in
this single classical- the separate wireless evolution paths and European
wireless leadership are thereby challenged
- Japanese network operators will be the
first to implement 3G networks in the year 2001, and Japanese terminal
manufacturers, who have not had much market share outside their home market,
will be first with 3G terminals
- Many industry analysts and other pundits
have questioned the return on an investment in 3G technology- questioning
whether network operators will be able to earn an adequate return on the
capital deployed in acquiring and rolling out a 3G network.
- Many media and Internet companies have
expressed an interest in bidding for and using 3G technology as a new
channel to distribute their con10t, opening the opportunity for new
entrants and new partnerships and value chains
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